T
he "free" ride might be coming to an end as authorities search for solutions to combat a deflationary economy and a surplus of homes — a scenario mirroring what's happening in the U.S.
Americans have been experiencing elevated mortgage rates for more than two years, while homeowners in Japan are seeing the end of "free" mortgages.
In Japan, negligible borrowing costs have been the norm for over two decades due to ultra-low interest rates. Benchmark interest rates have been around zero since the mid-1990s, resulting in homebuyers often paying well below 1% on floating-rate mortgages.
Japan's typical 0.3% mortgage rate would be a surprise to many Americans, who are currently dealing with 30-year fixed rates in the 6.35% range. The historically low U.S. rates of the Covid era — which bottomed out around 2.6% in early 2021 — would be considered quite high by current Japanese lending standards.
The Bank of Japan's decision to increase rates last March and again later this month is partly based on a rise in salaries, leading to increased consumer spending. According to a Bloomberg article in The Japan Times, around 75% of personal mortgages are floating-rate loans, so many residents will see monthly house payments rise with the new rate increase expected this month.
Home prices have remained relatively low in Japan's housing market, which is experiencing the opposite of what's happening in the U.S.: an excess supply of homes for a shrinking population.
So why are rates so low? Banks have competed for more loan business during this period of ultra-low rates, with some online banks still advertising rates as low as 0.27%. The government has kept rates low to try to spur inflation in what's been a deflationary economy for decades.
According to The Japan Times, residents in Japan have a strong dislike for loans due to a real estate and stock market bubble that burst in the early 1990s, shaping their view on spending.
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