H
ousing starts and completions saw an uptick in August, with builders expressing more confidence despite a significant shortage of homes. Construction activity rebounded as homebuilders weighed the potential impact of interest rate cuts.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, housing starts rose 3.9% year-over-year and 9.6% from July. Building permits also increased in August after a slow July, reaching their highest level since March, albeit down 6.5% annually. Single-family permits declined by just 0.5%, while multifamily units drove the annual decrease.
Newly constructed homes are becoming more available, with single-family home completions rising 8.4% year-over-year in August. This increase should provide buyers with more options heading into the fall season.
Builder confidence is also improving, as seen in the NAHB Housing Market Index's rise to 41 in September, up from four consecutive months of declines. The index still lags behind peak levels reached during the early-pandemic housing boom.
Regionally, builders in the Northeast remain most optimistic, followed by those in the South, Midwest, and West. As interest rates are cut, buyer interest and builder sentiment should increase, potentially spurring more construction activity.
While an uptick in new starts is expected if confidence continues to rise, it may not be enough to address the housing shortfall, estimated to be between 1.5 million and 5.5 million units. Reducing costly regulations at the state and local level could help alleviate supply issues, but there are no short-term fixes for increasing the housing supply.
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