*
*What the Fed’s 25‑Basis‑Point Cut Means for Real Estate**
The Federal Reserve’s recent 25‑basis‑point reduction in the federal funds rate is a welcome signal for the housing market, but its effects are far from straightforward. While the move may hint at a more favorable environment, the path to truly affordable homes remains complex.
**Current Market Snapshot**
- 30‑year mortgage rates are near two‑year lows, having fallen roughly 0.5–0.75 % in the past 60 days.
- Most of that decline happened before the September 17 meeting, driven by a weak August jobs report that made a Fed cut almost inevitable.
- After the announcement, rates stayed flat or edged higher, showing that the market had already priced in the cut.
- Home sales are still well below normal, with many buyers staying on the sidelines due to high prices and rates.
- Sellers are uncertain about how much to lower prices or what incentives to offer to move inventory.
**Why the Fed Cut**
The Fed’s dual mandate—maximum employment and stable prices—guided the decision. Inflation sits at 2.9 %, just above the target, while the August jobs data revealed cracks in the labor market. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that there is no “risk‑free path” forward; the Fed will continue to monitor monthly data and may cut rates again, with two more cuts projected for the year.
**Impact on Mortgage Rates and Housing**
- A Fed cut can lower the federal funds rate, which in turn can reduce mortgage rates, but the relationship is not one‑to‑one.
- Continued economic slowdown can lower inflation expectations, potentially easing mortgage rates further.
- If the Fed cuts twice more this year, mortgage rates could decline, but the magnitude is uncertain.
**Actionable Advice**
Given the volatility of the past 24 months, waiting for future cuts is risky. Instead:
1. **Assess the current data**—interest rates, inventory levels, and local market trends.
2. **Consult experts**—real‑estate professionals and mortgage advisors can help you spot opportunities.
3. **Act now**—there are still favorable conditions for buyers and sellers alike.
**Contact**
Chris Hallows, Branch Manager & Senior Mortgage Advisor, Benchmark Mortgage Flagstaff
Website: [ChrisHallows.Benchmark.us](http://ChrisHallows.Benchmark.us)
Phone: 928‑707‑8572
Flagstaff Office: 824 W Rte 66 Suite A‑3
NMLS 306345, Ark‑La‑Tex Financial Services, LLC NMLS 2143 | Equal Housing Lender
