realestate

Forecasting Residential Real Estate Trends Through 2029

Housing Market Forecast: Expert predictions for the next 4 years - will prices rise or fall?

T
he housing market's future path remains a topic of interest, with experts predicting steady growth over the next four years. While recent price jumps are expected to cool down, home prices will likely continue to rise, averaging a cumulative gain of nearly 20% across the U.S. between 2025 and 2029.

    Experts surveyed by Fannie Mae predict that after a strong showing in 2024, national home prices will grow at a slower pace in 2025 and 2026, with average forecasts of 3.4% and 3.3%, respectively. This moderation is expected to continue through 2029, with the panel's cumulative prediction for national home prices rising by 19.8%.

    The survey also highlights the wide range of opinions among experts, with optimists predicting a cumulative price increase of 31.0% by the end of 2029 and pessimists forecasting a gain of just 8.3%. This dispersion is attributed to factors such as mortgage rate paths, economic outlooks, inventory levels, and affordability crises.

    Historical context suggests that the predicted growth rate of 3.7% per year for 2025-2029 is slower than recent years but still above historical norms. The survey's findings are in line with a return to more sustainable market conditions after an extraordinary period driven by low rates and pandemic-related demand shifts.

    For buyers, the forecast suggests that prices will continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace, making affordability a key concern. Sellers can expect a favorable market but should be prepared for realistic pricing and expectations. Homeowners can look forward to continued equity growth, albeit at a slower pace than in recent years.

    The bottom line is that the housing market is expected to transition into a period of slower growth, with prices continuing to rise but at a more gradual rate. The key challenge remains the housing supply shortage, which will continue to affect affordability and competition in the market.

Real estate professionals analyze market trends and forecasts in a conference setting.