realestate

Housing Starts Decline 3.9% in 2024 vs. 2023

This Week in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Housing Starts Rise to 1.499 Million

M
ichael Pettis, a well-known expert on China's economy, has written extensively about the country's financial markets. His work highlights the complexities and challenges of China's economic system.

    Pettis notes that China's financial markets are characterized by a unique blend of state control and market forces. The government plays a significant role in allocating credit and directing investment, while private sector actors also participate in the market.

    The result is a system that is both fragile and prone to instability. Pettis argues that this fragility is rooted in the country's reliance on debt-fueled growth, which has created a bubble in asset prices and a massive buildup of leverage in the financial system.

    Pettis' analysis suggests that China's financial markets are at a critical juncture, where a combination of factors - including slowing economic growth, rising debt levels, and increasing market volatility - could lead to a major crisis.

Housing construction decline graph with 3.9% drop in 2024 vs. 2023.