realestate

Home prices easing, yet down‑payment hurdles keep buyers at bay.

Housing is affordable with lower prices and mortgage rates, but saving for a down payment takes longer than pre‑pandemic.

M
ortgage rates have eased, home prices are stabilizing, and the number of homes on the market is climbing—factors that together make buying a house more attainable for many today. Yet, the most significant barrier for first‑time buyers remains the down‑payment.

    Nationally, home values have held steady over the past year, according to Parcl Labs’ daily U.S. price surveys. Prices slipped into negative territory earlier this month but are now just 0.3 % higher year‑over‑year. The latest S&P Cotality Case‑Shiller index, which reflects October data, shows stark differences across metros: Chicago, New York, and Cleveland posted the largest gains, while Tampa, Phoenix, and Dallas recorded the steepest declines. Consumer price inflation, at roughly 3.1 % in October, outpaces housing appreciation by about 1.8 percentage points, indicating a modest drop in real‑term home values over the last year, as noted by Nicholas Godec of S&P Dow Jones Indices.

    Mortgage rates have also fallen. The average 30‑year fixed rate sits at 6.19 %, down from well over 7 % at the start of the year, according to Mortgage News Daily. This reduction translates into tangible savings: a buyer putting 20 % down on a $410,000 home (near the national median) would see a monthly payment roughly $200 lower than a year ago.

    The math of affordability is shifting. Realtor.com reports that the average buyer now needs seven years to amass a down payment, down from a 12‑year peak in 2022 but still about twice pre‑pandemic levels, largely due to a lower personal savings rate compared to 2020. Down‑payment hurdles remain the top obstacle, with the U.S. Census indicating that 65 % of buyers still struggle to secure a deposit—the lowest rate since 2019.

    Supply dynamics are improving. Active listings are about 12 % higher than a year ago, per Realtor.com, though still 6 % below pre‑pandemic levels. Buyers are responding: pending sales—contracts on existing homes—rose 3.3 % from October and 2.6 % from the previous month, reaching the highest level in nearly three years, according to the National Association of Realtors. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors, attributes this uptick to enhanced affordability driven by lower rates and wage growth outpacing home prices, as well as a broader inventory offering more choices for buyers.

    In sum, lower mortgage rates, steadier prices, and a larger pool of homes are collectively easing the path to homeownership, even as the down‑payment challenge persists for many first‑time buyers.

US home prices easing, buyers deterred by high down‑payment hurdles.